NVDA shipped zero H20 chips to China yet still posted $81.6B in Q1 revenue, up 85%, and guided Q2 to $91 billion.
NVDA's forward P/E of 23 makes it cheaper than AMD at 76 or INTC at 118, while delivering 101% return on equity.
Jensen Huang cited $1 trillion in Blackwell and Rubin revenue visibility through 2027, backed by OpenAI's 10-gigawatt NVDA systems commitment.
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I keep buying NVIDIA because every bearish argument I hear collapses the moment I open the earnings report. The fashionable one, that NVIDIA is either hoarding cash or bleeding out from China restrictions, is the loudest and the wrongest, and it keeps handing me chances to add to a position I plan to hold deep into retirement.
NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) trades today at $207.40, and the analyst target sits at $301.62. My conviction comes from the numbers underneath that gap.
In Q1 FY2027, NVIDIA shipped zero H20 compute products to China, down from $4.6 billion a year earlier. Revenue still came in at $81.615 billion, up 85.23% year over year, beating estimates by 3.16%. Data Center revenue alone was $75.246 billion, up 92%. Networking, the piece most people ignore, hit $14.800 billion, up 199%. Management then guided Q2 to $91.0 billion, again assuming no China Data Center compute revenue. A company that can absorb a multi-billion-dollar customer loss and still print those numbers does not have a demand problem.
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NVIDIA returned roughly $20.0 billion to shareholders in a single quarter through repurchases and dividends. The board added $80.0 billion in fresh buyback authorization on May 18, 2026, on top of $38.5 billion already remaining under the prior plan. Management told analysts they plan to return roughly 50% of free cash flow to shareholders in 2027. The quarterly dividend was raised from $0.01 to $0.25. FY2026 returns totaled $41.1 billion. This is not a company sitting on its wallet.
The efficiency numbers explain why I want NVIDIA reinvesting first and returning second. ROIC of 92.2%. Return on equity of 101.5%. Operating margin of 60.4%. Non-GAAP gross margin of 75.0%. Debt-to-equity of 0.073 and interest coverage above 500x. Free cash flow of $48.554 billion in one quarter.
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