I have become increasingly concerned about the future of my writing career amid rapid advances in AI. That's causing some angst about the potential impact AI disruption will have on my income. This worry is driving me to focus on becoming financially independent as fast as I can.
I decided to turn to my potential nemesis (Anthropic's Claude) to help me craft a plan to prepare for a deep income drop. The results shocked me. Here are the three most surprising things I learned.
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I started by asking Claude to act as a financial advisor to a married couple with my financial situation and profession who wanted to reach financial independence in five years or less to relieve the financial anxiety of a potential future job loss. What I learned was that, while it wasn't mathematically impossible, it would take some serious budget cuts to reach, using conservative estimates of returns (7% average nominal return) and withdrawals (3.5% withdrawal rate for early retirees). One of the biggest obstacles is that a bulk of our net worth is in IRAs, most of which my wife and I can't touch penalty-free until we're 59 and a half (more than a decade away).
However, Claude proposed a more realistic solution: Coast FI. It's a stage of financial independence where your current investments are large enough to grow into a full retirement nest egg by the normal retirement age through compounding alone. Once you hit that number, you don't need to make any additional retirement contributions.
What shocked me is that I've already saved enough to reach my coast number, with a margin. Claude told me, "This is the single most important thing to internalize: you are not behind, and you don't need to grind at full income for 5 more years to be secure at 59.5." Instead, what I need to focus on is building a bridge to that year.
The surprising reframe for me is that I need to focus on building a bridge to retirement as I enter a period of heightened income uncertainty due to AI disruption. That's where my regular brokerage account and my Roth IRA become my biggest assets. While I can't withdraw any gains from my Roth until I reach 59 and a half, I can withdraw my original contributions. I'm not currently maxing out my Roth IRA contributions because I'm focusing on maxing out contributions to my tax-deductible SEP-IRA and my wife's traditional IRA. Maxing out my Roth can help me build my bridge to 59 and a half, as I can tap into this capital if needed while the gains continue to compound tax-free.
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